Democrats Attempt Last Push for Build Back Better Revival

Democrats are working to pass a slimmed down version of the Build Back Better bill that failed to pass last year, with Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer (D-NY) negotiating with Sen. Joe Manchin (D-WV), whose opposition sunk the bill last time, to agree to a smaller package focused on tax increases, deficit reduction, and climate spending, among other proposals.

Manchin and Schumer are reportedly close to a deal to allow the federal government to negotiate drug prices and limit price increases to the inflation rate. Such a proposal will need to be approved by the Senate parliamentarian to include in the reconciliation bill, which will allow Democrats to pass the bill by a simple majority and without any Republican support.

Any package will need the support of all Democrats in the Senate, including moderate Sen. Kyrsten Sinema of Arizona, who has signaled her opposition in the past to raising certain taxes.

Senate Minority Leader (R-KY) sent a tweet Thursday saying that Republicans will not help move forward a bill aimed at competing with China so long as Democrats are pursuing the reconciliation package.

 

Trump Impeached by House, Faces Trial in Senate

President Donald Trump this month became the third president in US history to be impeached, with a majority of the House of Representatives voting to impeach him on two charges, one for abuse of power regarding his phone call with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky and the request to investigate Hunter Biden, and one for obstruction of Congress for not providing documents from the White House in the course of the inquiry.

 The vote was near party line, with nearly all Democrats voting for both charges and no Republicans voting for either. Independent Justin Amash of Michigan, who broke from the Republican Party earlier this year after he came out in favor of impeachment even before the Ukrainian issue came forth, voted to impeach on both counts. Notably, Democratic presidential contender Tulsi Gabbard of Hawaii voted “present” on both counts, saying she favored censure of the president rather than impeachment. Rep. Jeff Van Drew of New Jersey voted against both impeachment charges as a Democrat before switching to the Republican Party days later.

While impeachment articles are usually quickly sent to the Senate to begin the trial phase (two thirds of the Senate must vote to convict the president to remove him, an unlikely scenario given the chamber’s Republican majority), House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-CA) has withheld sending them over, claiming concerns that Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-KY) will not conduct a fair trial but seek to have Trump exonerated quickly with as little political damage as possible. McConnell has said  he is working with the White House during the process, something that has been opposed by Sen. Lisa Murkowski (R-AK), a leading moderate and potential swing vote.

House Launches Impeachment Inquiry

fter months of resistance to pleas from vocal members of her caucus, House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-CA) announced last week that she would open an impeachment inquiry into President Donald Trump’s conduct. While many Democrats have called for impeachment proceedings in the past (soon after his inauguration), the event that sparked the latest round of calls relates to Trump’s call with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky and his plea for him to investigate former Vice President Joe Biden’s son Hunter Biden’s business and political actions in the country, a request that is politically salient given Joe Biden’s candidacy for president, in which he hopes to face Trump in November 2020.

The story broke earlier this month when a whistleblower released information about the contents of Trump’s call, which led to sharp criticism, mostly form Democrats but with a few Republicans joining in condemning the president’s action. After Pelosi initiated the impeachment inquiry on September 24th, the White House released a transcript of the call (which was not a verbatim copy, but rather a series of notes and recollections from other listeners) with Zelensky, which confirmed Trump cited Biden as an example of corruption in Ukraine.

In addition, Trump withheld $400 million in military aid to Ukraine prior to the call. Democrats have said the aide was withheld to be used as a bargaining chip to force Zelensky’s hand to investigate Biden; the White House says interagency disagreements led to its delay in disbursement.

Going forward, House Democrats will hold hearings on Trump over his conduct, with many Democrats hoping that it will lead to an impeachment vote. If successful, the Senate will decide whether to remove the president.

Democratic Takeover of House will Cause Trump Problems, Senate Remains GOP

Democrats took forty seats in the House of Representatives this November, which will give them party a majority of seats in the chamber for the first times since 2011. Republicans, however, managed to increase their majority in the Senate by two seats, picking up four seats by defeating incumbent Democrats in states President Trump won in 2016 and losing two seats, one in Arizona and one in Nevada. Democrats will have 235 seats in the House to Republican's 200 when the new Congress begins January 3, while Republicans will have a 53-47 majority in the Senate.

This will cause some new issues for Trump and his party. With the Republicans now lacking full control of Congress, pushing through their favored legislation will become far more difficult. In addition, House Democrats have promised to launch a series of investigations into Trump, which could include searches into the extent of his contacts with Russian nationals, his handling of the firing of then-FBI Director James Comey in 2017, and allegations into whether Trump has personally enriched himself through his office.

Even with this, Republicans have maintained considerable power through expanding their Senate majority. Trump and Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-KY) have made confirming Trump’s judicial nominees to federal courts a priority. With two more members in the next Congress, pushing through Trump’s picks will likely become less laborious for the GOP, which successfully fought to confirm now Justice Brett Kavanaugh to the court this year. 

Senate leadership will remain in the next Congress, with the exception of Sen. John Thune (R-SD) taking over for Sen. John Cornyn (R-TX) as Senate majority whip. The Republican House leader will be Kevin McCarthy (R-CA), while Democrats have yet to choose the speaker, but it is believed former Speaker and current House Democratic leader Nancy Pelosi (D-CA) has the best chance.

Trump, Putin Summit Leads to Political Controversy

President Trump’s recent Helsinki summit on July 16 with Russian President Vladimir Putin aimed to calm relations between the two countries, though the political response to it in the US has been often critical of the tone Trump took with Putin, especially during the joint press conference.

During the press conference, Trump did not explicitly reject the findings of several US intelligence agencies which said that the Russian government had meddled in the 2016 US Presidential election by purchasing advertisements and astroturfing rallies with the intent to help Trump win over Clinton. However, Trump emphasized Putin’s denial of any meddling, calling his denials “powerful.” He also said, “President Putin says it's not Russia. I don't see any reason why it would be.” He later walked back that comment, saying that he should have said “wouldn’t” rather than “would,” which would imply that he was more inclined to believe the Russians had meddled than had not. In addition, Trump had said that both countries were to blame for deteriorated relations, which faced heavy blowback in the American media which highlighted Russia’s 2008 and 2014 invasions of Georgia and Ukraine respectively, as well as its support for dictator Bashar al-Assad in Syria.

Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-KY) and outgoing House Speaker Paul Ryan (R-WI) both expressed their agreement with the US intelligence communities findings, but did not criticize Trump directly. Democrats took a much more combative tone, with some accusing the president of treason. One lawmaker, Rep. Steve Cohen (D-TN) seemed to suggest a coup against Trump is warranted, tweeting, “Where are our military folks ?(sic) The Commander in Chief is in the hands of our enemy!” Cohen has denied such an intent.