Wednesday, May 4, 2016

Trump Effectively Becomes Presumptive GOP Nominee after Victory in Indiana

UPDATE 12:10 EDT 5/4/16:
Fox News reports John Kasich to drop out of race, making Trump presumptive nominee.

Real estate mogul Donald Trump essentially clinched the Republican nomination for President Tuesday night after a convincing victory in the Indiana GOP primary, which led to his main rival, Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX) to drop his Presidential bid. While Gov. John Kasich (R-OH) remains in the race, most analysts, and even the Republican National Committee Chair Reince Priebus, see the race as all but over.

Trump, whose campaign was thought to have been a side distraction at the beginning, roared forward since his announcement in June 2015 in Trump Tower in New York City. Trump managed to form a coalition that propelled him past former Gov. Jeb Bush (R-FL) to become the Republican frontrunner. Trump's string of early victories in states such as New Hampshire and South Carolina gave him the momentum going forward to continue winning states and delegates, culminating in his resounding victory in his home state of New York, where he swept nearly all the delegates.

Donald Trump, flanked by his family, declares victory
in the Indiana primary and essentially in the GOP primary
Credit: Damon Winter/New York Times
Cruz, saying that the path to the nomination for him "has been foreclosed," bowed out of the race Tuesday night after it was clear he lost to Trump. Indiana was cited as the last stand by Cruz to stop Trump, but while Cruz led in earlier polling in the state, in recent weeks he fell behind the billionaire.

Kasich has vowed to remain in the race at least until Trump cliched 1,237 pledged delegates, the number he needs to formally claim the title of presumptive nominee.

Trump celebrated his win Tuesday and went after likely Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton, saying, “We’re going after Hillary Clinton. She will not be a great president. She will not be a good president. She will be a poor president." Trump also praised Cruz, saying, "He is a tough, smart guy. And he has got an amazing future.”

According to the Real Clear Politics aggregate polling data, Clinton currently leads Trump by 6.5%.

Thursday, April 21, 2016

New York and Texas Values

By Bruce L. Brager

Credit: Bruce L. Brager

Ted Cruz calls Donald Trump too much the product of New York values to be a good Republican nominee. Trump's table thumping appeal to the basest of instincts, and arrogance, is not enough. Cruz is right; there are distinct differences between New York City and Texas.

In Texas people sneer at those who are different, and happily throw the poor to the wolves. Here we have homeless people dodging rats. We sneer at everybody. We pack heat, carry guns, but bought illegally and concealed. Create your own joke about Texas guns and sensitivity about manhood. Was it actually harder to carry a gun in Texas 1870 than in Texas 2016?

In Texas they try to keep people from voting. New York has been more into ballot stuffing and "vote early and vote often." Texans like to drive very fast. In much of New York City you can walk faster than drive. New York liberals apologize too much. Being a Texan means never having to say you are sorry. But it apparently also means don't discuss certain topics — gun control, religion, politics, as my sister was warned by a friend in Texas she was visiting. But no mention about Friday night high school football, the holy of holies down there — the friend is a transplanted Yankee.

New York changed countries twice in the past - Dutch to British, British to United States. Starting in 1820, Texas went from Spanish, to Mexican, to independent, to the United States, to independent, to Confederate, to the United States. All in just over 50 years.

The Dutch bought the island of Manhattan for $24 worth of goods from a tribe of Indians. Indians never claimed ownership of land, so New York City got started by land fraud. Books have been written about Texas oil fraud. Of course, the story, perhaps urban legend, is that the Brooklyn Bridge was first "sold" before it was even finished. This is probably not true. William Marcy "Boss" Tweed was involved in the bridge, but only for a while. This is probably why the bridge nearly doubled its initial cost estimate — about $7 million to about $13 million. Tweed once put in a bid to build a court house for $100,000. The final cost was $13,000,000. Remember, this is all in the money of 1869-1883. Top that, Texas oil people.

Credit: Jon Sullivan,

In New York, we like jeans, boots and funny hats. In Texas they like jeans, boots and funny hats. On my first trip to Texas, changing planes in Dallas, one of the first people I saw was dressed like I would expect, from boots to jeans, to suede vest to Stetson hat. I think I saw one other person dressed that way in Texas, sitting under a speaker at a rural outlet mall. The speaker was playing music: Paul Simon, not George Jones. But they also know good music down there.

In New York you ask for rye bread and you get rye bread. In a Texas truck stop you might get told that the bread is dry. (The bread was dry, they told the truth, in a manner which brought to mind the west Texas desert.) Asking for a scotch and soda, hold the scotch, did not even work. In New York we know what club soda is.

Credit: Bruce L. Brager
East coast baby boomers actually have a soft spot in in their hearts for the "Wild West" including Texas. One of the programs I watched as a kid I called the Long Ranger. People ask if I mean Lone Ranger. No, I reply, this was a show about a very tall lawman. Lone had a "faithful Indian companion" (try that today) named Tonto. Tonto called Lone kemosabi. The joke is that after he retired to his ranch, Tonto warned a guest near his barn not to step in the kemosabi.

In Texas they name baseball teams after law enforcement agencies. In New York we name baseball teams after people from New England.

In Texas, public transport exists only technically. In New York City, the subway is a great motivator for walking all but the longest distances.

In Texas, you can be walking in a small town, dark out, where the weather makes you wonder why there is so much traffic in a July evening. It is actually almost November. They don't even know proper late fall weather. Actually, this winter in New York neither did we. The recent snow storm missed a record by 1/4 inch or so. A Texas Blue Norther would not come so close yet miss the record.

New York, a blue state, sends more tax dollars to Washington than it gets back. Texas, a red state, gets more tax money from Washington than it sends. Texas has the state guard to defend itself against Federal overreach. The state guard is about 150 years old, formed for those who did not want to join the militia or the Confederate volunteer service. Patrolling rural Texas, unless you ran into a ticked off group of Comanche, was a lot safer than joining Hood's Brigade for the Battle of the Wilderness.

Many New Yorkers back then preferred draft rioting to fighting Robert E. Lee. We successful oppressed our Native Americans much earlier than they did in Texas.

Finally, in New York we have Wall Street greed. Texans have oil industry greed. Texans once said "drive fast, freeze a Yankee." We don't even have to drive slowly to bankrupt a Texan. The beloved free market is doing that for us.

Credit: Bruce L. Brager

All opinion pieces reflect solely the views of the writer(s) and do not reflect the opinions or views of CAB News Online.

Tuesday, April 19, 2016

Trump, Clinton Win New York in Landslide Win

Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton scored big in New York Tuesday night, with both winning a strong majority of their party's voters in the state, with Trump currently at 60.0% and Clinton at 57.6% with (as of 11:55 EDT) 94.8% of precincts reporting.

Hillary Clinton (L) and Donald Trump (R) won their respective
primaries in New York in blowout wins over their opponents.
Credit: ABC News
Trump won nearly every county in state, losing only New York County (Manhattan) and stayed under 40% in only one other county (Tompkins, home of liberal Ithaca). John Kasich, the second place winner, along with third-place finisher Ted Cruz, managed to keep Trump under a majority in a handful of other counties. Kasich may manage to score some delegates from his strong finish in Manhattan and a few other counties near the New York-Vermont border). Otherwise, Trump seems to have completely swept his home state, winning over 70% in Richmond County (Staten Island), and Nassau County and Suffolk County (Long Island).

Clinton, while having as strong a finish as Trump, swept the state, winning in population centers such as New York City, Westchester County, Long Island, Syracuse, and Rochester. She leads (as of 11:55 EDT) only slightly in Erie County, home of Buffalo. Bernie Sanders managed to win a majority of counties, but could not make up his losses in the populated areas. Sanders needed a large win tonight to have a compelling case for his continued viability as a candidate, especially as Democratic primaries apportion their delegates proportionally, making it impossible for Sanders to close the gap with Clinton for pledged delegates without large margins of victory

View live results here:

Thursday, March 31, 2016

Trump, Clinton March to Nominations

                 Republican frontunner Donald Trump and Democratic frontrunner Hillary Clinton continue their march towards their perspective parties’ nominations. While their challengers continue their attempts to block their paths to the nominations, they face great odds in overcoming their delegate leads racked up from the primary races.

                 On the Republican side, Trump holds leads over his current rivals, Texas Senator Ted Cruz and Ohio Governor John Kasich, though his ability to acquire a majority of delegates before the convention in Cleveland remains in doubt. While he is likely to acquire a plurality of delegates before the convention (though Cruz insists he will be able to take over his lead before the convention), Trump faces difficulties in winning approval from a majority of delegates at the convention if the convention is brokered.

Clinton holds a larger delegate lead over her rival, Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders, than Trump does over his two rivals. Clinton holds a lead with pledged delegates, and she holds a overwhelming lead with superdelegates, who are not bound to any particular candidate.

Sanders continued to insist that he has a path the Democratic nomination, citing the possibility of performing well in the remaining contests, including the delegate-rich states of New York and California. He has won large victories in western states such as Washington and Alaska, but has also lost overwhelmingly in other states, such as Mississippi and South Carolina.

Clinton currently leads Trump in the opinion polls and has gained ground on both Cruz and Kasich, though general election polls have shown volatility in the past.

Brussels Attack Leaves 32 Dead

The Islamic State terrorist group has taken responsibility for the terrorist attacks on Brussels, Belgium on March 22, which killed 32 people and injured 316 others. The attackers used suicide bombers to target transportation centers: a subway station and an airport.

The attack comes months after similar attacks in Paris, also committed by IS. In addition, other attacks by Islamist radicals have targeted civilians in Baghdad and Lahore, Pakistan, though IS had little influence in the latter.

While the Islamic State has faced setbacks on the battlefield, losing Palmyra to Syrian forces, it has succeeded in terrorist attacks across the globe.